Nouriel Roubini, keynote speaker and head of RGE, the independent global economic and market strategy research firm, speaks to Patrick Chovanec about China, and how much stress the system can take.
Patrick Chovanec is associate professor at Tsinghua University’s School of Economics and Management in Beijing. He engaged Nuriel in a discussion about the likelihood of a hard landing in China considering the short and medium term implications of policy adjustments, leadership transitions, and technology advancements.
They discussed how much of a deceleration is to be expected?; Which policy route China will take and will they be able to achieve 8% growth for the year?; Will China be able to provide stimulus fast enough, or will this year’s growth be below consensus?; What will exchange rate policy look like and will we see an increase in trade tension?; They looked at the medium term outlook and the leadership transition, and asked whether China could avoid a hard landing?, and with social and political instability spreading around the world often facilitated by social media and other new technology, what’s the risk to the system?
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